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Why has the Russian
government let loose its secret service on the West?
There is little doubt, based on the evidence available, that
the Russian state security services have been behind a number of recent
attempts to hack into Western institutes and organisations as well as
interference in elections. According to US intelligence officials, Russian
hackers made repeated attempts before the most recent US presidential election
to penetrate major US institutions, including the White House and the state
department. They also made used of Wikileaks to hack into Hilary Clinton’s emails.
German officials say a Russian hacking group was behind a
major attack last year on the parliament in Berlin. The attack – like those in
the US – involved phishing emails. They were sent from an account, un.org,
which appeared to come from the United Nations. The hack may have gone on for
several months.
There is also evidence that the hackers have attempted to
target Merkel’s Christian Democratic Party too.
The most recent attempt has been a Russian cyber-attack on
the headquarters of the international chemical weapons watchdog, which was
foiled by Dutch military intelligence only weeks after the Salisbury novichok
attack. All this has led to an escalation of the diplomatic war between the
West and Putin.
The targeting of individuals, like the ‘traitors’ Litvinenko
and Skripal is part of the pattern.
Outrage at such subterfuge and callousness by or with the
collusion of the Russian state is understandable. But all this evidence is
being used to demonise Russia even further and increase its isolation, instead
of using diplomacy to persuade the Russian government to stop using such
tactics. So why does Russia feel the need to risk worldwide opprobrium by
adopting such tactics in clear contravention of international law?
What is deliberately ignored in the coverage of all these
events, is the political and economic background.
While abhorring illegal and inhuman acts, and not wanting in
any way to excuse Putin’s government of culpability, I am interested in
discovering the motivation for recent Russian misbehaviour on the international
stage, and looking back into history can help explain these issues.
There are clear precedents as seen in Stalin’s behaviour after
the death of Lenin vis a vis the West. At the time, Stalin’s policies were
explained as due to his serious psychotic state, his paranoia and callousness.
However, if we step outside the box and for once view things from a Russian
point of view, Stalin’s paranoia and more recent events take on a very
different shape.
Immediately after the revolution, Russia was invaded by a
whole number of Western powers, Britain, the USA, France, Poland and Romania as
well as Japan. Deeply alarmed by the ‘Bolshevik threat’, Churchill poured
troops into Russia to assist the counter-revolutionaries during the so-called
wars of intervention. ‘The foul baboonery of Bolshevism’, as he called
it, must be ‘strangled in its cradle’. Churchill was concerned that
Bolshevism could spread to Germany and so urged his colleagues at the Paris
Peace Conference to treat Germany as a friend in the post-war world: ‘Kill the
Bolshie, Kiss the Hun,’ as he wrote to Violet Asquith at the time.
With the rise of fascism, Stalin was once again confronted
with Western duplicity, when these governments made every attempt to appease
Hitler and send him East rather than invading Western Europe. A strategy that
fatally misfired. If Stalin tended towards paranoia right from the start,
Western policies certainly compounded it, as they are doing today with Putin.
British and US attempts to bully the post war Soviet Union
with their new ‘super weapon’, the atomic bomb, also misfired when the Russians
managed (with the help of sympathetic Western scientists) to build their own.
When the Soviet Union went into Afghanistan in 1979, largely
in a move to protect its vulnerable south-eastern flank, the West mobilised the
Taliban with the help of Bin Laden to confront their forces, and look what that
mushroomed into.
With the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact in
1990, we all thought the Cold War as well as the continued threat of a hot war
was over and we could all breath a sigh of relief. Many of us expected NATO to
be disbanded as the Warsaw Pact no longer existed. How naïve.
Despite the break up of the Soviet Union and its adoption of
a capitalist system, Western powers still fear its geo-political strength.
Despite promises made to Gorbachev by Reagan and George Bush sr. that NATO
would not attempt to move its forces up to the Russian border, that has
happened. Former Soviet Republics have been encouraged to join NATO, Ukraine
has been actively encouraged to confront Russia. Putin has been demonised and
ostracised. Is it any wonder that Russia fears Western motives and is
determined to take every measure possible to protect itself?
From the Western perspective, Russia remains the only large
stumbling black to western capital’s total hegemony over Europe and that part
of Asia. Admittedly, the action Putin and his government have taken has not
made it particularly easy to look sympathetically at the Russian case, but that
should not be the focus.
Putin, while ideologically undoubtedly on the side of
capitalism, is also a strong nationalist and, like Stalin before him, is
determined to protect Russia in the face of determined aggression. His fears,
just like Stalin’s, are not based on a wild imagination. The media do not
mention the continual spying, subterfuge and hacking that the Western powers
have continuously undertaken against, first the Soviet Union and then Russia,
as if interference is a one-way street.
We need honest diplomacy from both sides, as well as
enforceable agreements to prevent electronic interference in each other’s
internal affairs and a moratorium on espionage activity. And we also have to
recognise Russia’s genuine concerns and demand that NATO pull back its forces
from the border. Co-operation rather than confrontation is essential if we are
to avoid a new and dangerous escalation.
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